Catching The Big Trends: 4 Decades Of Disinflation

Pretty of import stuff.
One of our comments inwards Dec 2013's
Intertemporal Arbitrage: "Winning Big past times Playing Long-Term Trends" (CNI; PNR)

...The indicate is, y'all don't convey to live at the marketplace every minute You are afforded the luxury of simply waiting for the perfect pitch.

Now for a fund director it get's tricky writing the quarterly study in addition to proverb "We didn't produce much inwards Q3, we're waiting for Mr. Market to hand us the high hanging bend ball" but if you've been honest amongst the investors that the tactic you've pulled from the toolbox is akin to the military's hurry-up-and-wait feel of fourth dimension it is doable.

As a side regime annotation anyone who considers a motion that is measured inwards weeks to live a tendency is nuts. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 tendency is John Templeton going into the Japanese markets at ii times turn a profit in addition to catching a 40-fold motion 1965-1989....

And today's headline storey from The Dangerous Economist, Feb 28:

Four Decades Of Disinflation

Disinflation is when the inflation charge per unit of measurement falls. Prices ascension each twelvemonth or fourth dimension period, but the charge per unit of measurement of increase falls. The tabular array below shows the annual  average inflation charge per unit of measurement for decades starting amongst the 1950s. The 1970s had the highest average of 7.41%.

Decade	AVG	HIGH	LOW
1950s	2.25%	6.00%	-0.70%
1960s	2.53%	6.20%	0.70%
1970s	7.41%	13.30%	3.30%
1980s	5.14%	12.50%	1.10%
1990s	2.92%	6.10%	1.60%
2000s	2.54%	4.10%	0.10%
2010s	1.68%	3.00%	0.70%

Starting amongst the 1980s, each decade has had a lower average than the previous decade...MORE

Related:
July 2011
“What should i do: predict specifics, or forecast wide trends that necessarily missy specifics?”
December 2015
Demographics in addition to Deflation II: Longer Lives, Lower Interest Rates