El Niño: Columbia/Iri Enso Forecast

From the public Institute at Columbia University:

2018 Dec Quick Look
Published: Dec 13, 2018

H5N1 monthly summary of the condition of El Niño, La Niña, in addition to the Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, based on the NINO3.4 index (120-170W, 5S-5N)

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El Niño-level SSTs continued to hold upward observed inwards the Nov average, in addition to the subsurface waters continued to hold upward warmer than average. However, nearly atmospheric variables showed ENSO-neutral patterns. The lower-level air current anomalies averaged weakly westerly inwards the western Pacific, in addition to the equatorial SOI was slightly negative–both suggestions of El Niño. But other indicators were neutral. The official CPC/IRI outlook calls for an 90% peril of El Niño prevailing during winter, in addition to over 60% during saltation 2019. An El Niño sentry is inwards effect. The nearly recent forecasts of statistical in addition to dynamical models collectively present continuing El Niño-level SSTs, nearly probable weak to moderate inwards strength, continuing through spring....MORE