Follow-Up: Simply How Much Coal Fired Ability Is China Currently Planning/Building?

Following on Oct 5's "Satellite images present 'runaway' expansion of coal ability inwards China".
That floor at The Guardian starts out "Extra 259GW capacity from coal inwards pipeline despite Beijing’s restrictions on plants".

259 billion watts inwards additional coal fired capacity is comparable to the entire U.S. coal-fired fleet currently operationg.

Here's CoalSwarm, the grouping that supplied the written report the Guardian floor was based on:

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Like an approaching seismic sea wave triggered past times a distant earthquake, a massive cohort of hundreds of novel coal-fired ability plants is on course of study to hold upward added to the already overbuilt Chinese coal constitute fleet. This moving ridge of novel capacity—comparable inwards size to the entire U.S. coal fleet—is the outcome of a piffling reported surge inwards permit approvals at the provincial grade from belatedly 2014 to early on 2016.

While China’s primal authorities convey sought to mitigate the surge through a serial of especial regulatory measures, novel satellite imagery together with plant-by-plant enquiry present the measures to convey been solely partially effective. Rather than cancelling unneeded coal plants, China’s officials inwards many cases convey simply rescheduled them.

There is withal fourth dimension to halt the wave, but China’s authorities must deed rapidly to cancel the unneeded projects. Otherwise the seismic sea wave of coal ability capacity volition overwhelm China’s ain coal cap together with seriously undermine global climate goals. This report, based on a plant-by-plant survey past times CoalSwarm’s Global Coal Plant Tracker (GCPT) completed inwards July 2018, includes the next findings:

■ ■ 259 Gigawatts (GW) of novel capacity are nether evolution inwards China, comparable to the entire U.S. coal fleet (266 GW). If built, the novel plants volition increment China’s electrical flow coal fleet of 993 GW past times 25%.
■ ■ The novel capacity is the outcome of a permitting surge from belatedly 2014 to early on 2016, afterwards a regulatory devolution from primal to provincial authorities.
 ■ ■ In 2016 together with 2017, primal authorities sought to rein inwards the surge through a serial of recess orders.
 ■ ■ Contrary to previous reporting together with analysis, many of the restrictions solely delayed novel projects rather than stopping them.
■ ■ Adding 259 GW of novel coal ability inwards China is wildly out of business alongside the Paris climate agreement. According to the IEA, a 50% run a jeopardy of limiting hereafter tem- perature increases to 1.75°C requires that China stage out its traditional coal plants past times 2045.
■ ■ The surge inwards novel projects volition overwhelm China’s ain 1100 GW coal cap inwards the country’s electrical flow Five-Year Plan.
■ ■ Cancelling the 259 GW of novel coal plants would gratis upward US$210 billion inwards majuscule expenditures, plenty to construct nearly 300 GW of solar PV or 175 GW of air current power.

...China is edifice coal ability again".  It's a worldwide phenomena.

And, equally noted inwards the intro to the satellite post:

China volition hold upward able to cut back emissions over the side past times side 12 - eighteen months the same means the westward did inwards 2008 - 2010: simply through a a slowdown inwards the charge per unit of measurement of growth of their overall economy.
However...
When—not if but when—China's economic scheme in 1 lawsuit to a greater extent than begins showing increases inwards the rate of growth, the increases volition hold upward powered past times coal, despite all the headlines close air current together with solar installations.
The saving grace, if you lot tin bathroom telephone phone it that, is the efficiency improvements inwards the overall organization equally the small-scale older coal plants are eventually retired.

So the means this plays out is China's economic scheme continues to slow, the primal regime orders the regional together with municipal authorities to scale dorsum their immediately overly ambitious plans, President Xi goes to the side past times side climate confab together with is hailed equally having listened to the world clamoring for alter together with he heads dorsum abode to come about ramping upward the Chinese growth charge per unit of measurement in 1 lawsuit again.

I should dust off some of the sometime posts on China gaming Kyoto alongside the.'ol HFC-23 scam (HFC-23 is 11,700 times to a greater extent than powerful than CO2 equally a greenhouse gas) or mayhap the Russians running the Gazprom leaky pipes scam.

Yeah we've been doing this for a while. Rio, 1992.

"I don't know if climate alter is caused past times burning coal or Sun flares or what," said the Moscow-based carbon cowboy. "And I don't actually hand a shit. Russian Federation is the most liberate energy inefficient province around, together with carbon is the most volatile marketplace ever. There's a lot of chance to brand money."

-From "The Bored Whore of Kyoto"