Will The 2018/2019 Flavor Live On The Almost Exciting Onion Crusade Inwards Years?

That's the enquiry on everyone's lips.
From FreshPlaza:

OVERVIEW GLOBAL ONION MARKET

Will the 2018/2019 flavour live on the most exciting onion crusade inward years? Worldwide, the conditions has had a major impact on the harvests. Not entirely Europe was plagued past times heat, the mercury too rose high inward California. Other parts of the US recorded a lot of rain, together with the intelligence coming from Asia were too non all good. That has resulted inward tensions together with speculation. Are in that location plenty large sizes available? Is it advisable to sell directly at a goodness cost or run a jeopardy at the possibility of higher prices afterward inward the season? Is the lineament sufficient to move along the production inward storage for all these months? So many questions, hence many answers. We made an overview of the onion market.

The Netherlands: More than 30% fewer onions; shortage of large sizes
This year's sales figures are i time again unusual. With over thirty percentage less yield, or close twoscore tons per hectare, instead of the commons sixty tons, in that location are considerably fewer onions available for export. There are sufficient minor together with medium-sized onions available; however, the render of large sizes is considerably smaller, together with supers are too really rare. In the outset one-half of the season, when goodness volumes of minor together with medium-sized onions are sold to West Africa inward particular, exports won't live on largely affected. However, after February, when the goal markets prefer larger sizes, the render volition probable live on scarce, together with in that location won't live on plenty smaller sizes available to compensate for this. The high cost levels should naturally accept a negative impact on the demand, but the fact that in that location volition live on to a greater extent than than thirty percentage fewer onions inward the Netherlands together with to a greater extent than than 1 1000000 tons less inward Europe volition accept repercussions on the market. Some sorting companies wonder if in that location volition live on plenty function for the 2nd one-half of the season, every bit the weekly book volition barely make 15,000 tons, piece the sorting capacity exceeds 40,000 tons per week.


Spain has plenty large sizes
The onion harvest is inward total swing inward the Iberian Peninsula, specially inward the regions Castile-La Mancha, Valencia together with Murcia. Even though most of the production has yet to live on harvested, a smaller yield is expected compared to final year. This is mainly due to the frequent storms occasionally accompanied past times hail.

"The heavy rains inward early on September slowed the harvest down, but the lineament is by together with large good," says a trader. This is specially truthful for onions that were non affected past times hail. Espana could make goodness from the shortage of large sizes inward Europe this year, specially inward the Netherlands. "In general, Castilian onions accept a goodness size," says a grower. Provinces similar Ciudad Real, inward Castile-La Mancha (the most of import tillage expanse inward Spain) sure await a goodness availability of large sizes. "We reckon the ask for large onions rising every day." At the moment, the cost at root oscillates betwixt 0.18 together with 0.20 Euro per kilo, although the marketplace cost is 0.28 Euro. As a result, the margins for traders are small. "At the moment, the cost is on the depression side, but it volition ascent past times mid-October."

Germany: High prices compensate for losses
At the moment, onion prices are almost twice every bit high every bit those recorded final year. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 trader explains that "some of the growers accept suffered losses of upwards to 40%, depending on the part together with the production. However, the high together with stable cost compensates for those losses. "Normally, in that location is a bully pull per unit of measurement area on prices inward this period. "Buyers commonly wishing to force prices downwardly every bit much every bit possible, but in that location is currently a sure unity amid growers, traders together with buyers, which is resulting inward odd marketplace stability."

The lineament of the onions varies, hence a lot has to live on done inward terms of sorting. "We accept to brand a bully endeavor inward social club to deliver lineament onions to our customers," says a trader. "At times, nosotros are hardly able to come across the demand." The high ask suggests loyalty on the part of the consumers. Growers are satisfied amongst the price. Sales are developing well, which is a goodness thing, every bit the shelf life of onions inward storage is non guaranteed to live on long. "Normally, in that location is a meridian inward the ask but earlier Christmas, but it is a run a jeopardy to shop the onions, instead of selling them for a goodness price." The province of affairs volition non modify much inward the future. In recent years, the marketplace was non every bit exciting, hence no major investments or acreage expansions are expected.

France has a minor production
Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 trader fears that the onion marketplace volition endure from the dry out conditions of recent months. "Just similar inward the whole of northern Europe, the volumes available inward French Republic are good below the average. Because of this, the marketplace volition live on turned upside down. We accept to hold back together with reckon what the exact consequences volition be."

The dry out conditions is non the entirely ingredient that has caused a reduction inward French volumes. Earlier this year, large areas inward the province were hitting past times heavy rainfall. In the Cévennes, a known production expanse for sugariness onions, 25% to 30% of the harvest was lost. The cost increment that followed this was non plenty to comprehend the losses....MUCH MORE

Our interest, despite a electrical flow wishing for a prissy Tortilla de patata or perchance a frittata is truly legal together with regulatory: "7 U.S. Code § 13–1 - Violations, prohibition against dealings inward motion painting present box part receipts or onion futures; punishment"

As the all-knowing-one—Wikipedia tells it:

In 1955, 2 onion traders, Sam Siegel together with Vincent Kosuga, cornered the onion futures marketplace on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange...

....In the autumn of 1955, Siegel together with Kosuga bought plenty onions together with onion futures hence that they controlled 98 percentage of the available onions inward Chicago.^[4] Millions of pounds (thousands of tonnes) of onions were shipped to Chicago to comprehend their purchases. By tardily 1955, they had stored 30,000,000 pounds (14,000,000 kg) of onions inward Chicago.^[5] They shortly changed course of study together with convinced onion growers to get purchasing their inventory past times threatening to overflowing the marketplace amongst onions if they did not.^[5] Seigel together with Kosuga told the growers that they would concur the residual of their inventory inward social club to back upwards the cost of onions.^[6]
 
As the growers began buying onions, Siegel together with Kosuga purchased brusk positions on a large amount of onion contracts.^[5] They too arranged to accept their stores of onions reconditioned because they had started to spoil. They shipped them exterior of Chicago to accept them cleaned together with and then repackaged together with re-shipped dorsum to Chicago. The novel shipments of onions caused many futures traders to intend that in that location was an excess of onions together with farther drove downwardly onion prices inward Chicago. By the halt of the onion flavour inward March 1956, Siegel together with Kosuga had flooded the markets amongst their onions together with driven the cost of fifty pounds (23 kg) of onions downwardly to 10 cents a bag.^[5] In August 1955, the same quantity of onions had been priced at $2.75 a bag.^[6] So many onions were shipped to Chicago inward social club to depress prices that in that location were onion shortages inward other parts of the United States.^[7]

Siegel together with Kosuga made millions of dollars on the transaction due to their brusk seat on onion futures.^[4] At i point, however, fifty pounds (23 kg) of onions were selling inward Chicago for less than the bags that held them. This drove many onion farmers into bankruptcy.^[4] Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 world outcry ensued amid onion farmers who were left amongst large amounts of worthless inventory.^[8] Many of the farmers had to pay to dispose of the large amounts of onions that they had purchased together with grown....MORE

Here's the CFTC report, decision, together with order, June 3, 1960.

The Castilian omlette thought was likely triggered past times a retention of 2009's "Mix Butter, Onions, Cheese together with Eggs. Add Electricity...".

Have I missed anything? Perhaps without the prospect of onion futures to merchandise it's fourth dimension i time once again to human face at Chinese garlic derivatives together with pray for snow.

Inventories Rise every bit China’s Garlic Harvest Season Ends 
China’s 2018 garlic harvest flavour wrapped upwards at the halt of August. Garlic production reached an estimated 10 1000000 tons past times the halt the flavour amongst novel garlic inventory of close four 1000000 tons—a tape high that surpassesthe excessive storage volumes attained inward 2008. With increased production, high inventory levels together with pitiful sales, dried sliced garlic has move a novel outlet.

Hmmm, perchance not. Maybe side past times side year.

If interested (and who wouldn't be?) see:
The Timeless Allure of Egg Futures: "Former teenage soldier hatches millions from Chinese egg futures"
 What came outset Egg or Chicken? Solution Through Granger Causality