The Off-Guardian - What Well-Nigh The Auvergne? Is Russia Engaging Inwards Strategic Disinfo To Avoid Existence Drawn Into Trap?
PCR in addition to many people are criticising Putin for non standing to the Empire, but mayhap he's to a greater extent than clever in addition to shrewd than they realize.
What virtually the Auvergne? Is Russian Federation engaging inwards strategic disinfo to avoid existence drawn into trap?
Catte
According to an a analysis offered past times Joaquin Flores on Fort Russ the recent bizarre events unfolding over Syrian Arab Republic may take away maintain been an attempt, non precisely past times Israel, but every bit good past times French Republic to depict Russian Federation into a renewed political/diplomatic confrontation amongst NATO.
Flores says:
What the Russians claim is that Israeli arts and crafts using the Il-20 for comprehend ‘confused’ the SAA organization in addition to that the SAA organization striking the Russian Il-20. We volition explicate that spell this is possible, it is unlikely, in addition to inwards fact the to the lowest degree probable of whatsoever realistic scenarios given the tremendous grooming in addition to planning that goes into these events.
The master copy Russian proclamation virtually the alleged firing of missiles past times the French frigate Auvergne, was ever curious. The fact the 2 events – the alleged missile firing in addition to the disappearance of the Il-20 – were linked past times timing inwards the Russian announcement is non the form of wording to endure used casually when dealing amongst a NATO fellow member country. The Russians would demand expert ground for proverb something this potentially inflammatory at such a time. It existence a form of code for “we know French Republic precisely shot downward our plane” is non implausible. Flores again:
It’s highly intelligent on the business office of Russia, for many reasons, that they blame State of Israel for this, if the selection is France. Russian Federation refuses to countenance steps leading to whatsoever state of war when other agency are clear & available….outright state of war is no respond whatever emerges ultimately. This was the idea procedure of Russian authorities, in addition to the footing every bit well, of their disinfo campaign.
Flores argues that Russian Federation blaming State of Israel was the final thing the neocons/neolibs expected. They anticipated instead that French Republic would endure accused, would endure able to vociferously deny, in addition to role indignation over the “false allegations” to exercise an excuse for farther anti-Russian propaganda/theatre inwards the United Nations in addition to exercise farther distance in addition to hostility betwixt Russian Federation in addition to a meaning NATO fellow member country. He argues Russian Federation had to scream back speedily inwards answer in addition to notice a way of avoiding having to blame France. This indirect blaming of State of Israel was what they came upward with, sidestepping the trap of going caput to caput amongst French Republic in addition to non making a direct claim of State of Israel involvement that could endure refuted amongst physical evidence.
Between blaming French Republic or Israel, the United States of America expected Russian Federation to blame France. Between blaming Syrian Arab Republic or France, the United States of America expected Russian Federation to blame France. Between blaming Syrian Arab Republic or Israel, the United States of America expected State of Israel to endure blamed.
They did non await this hybrid of ‘somewhat’ blaming State of Israel for doing ‘tricky stuff’ inwards the air, the motives existence difficult to examine or qualify.
If Russian Federation was to avoid an MH-17 province of affairs inwards reverse, they had to scream back amongst agility. Russian Federation has the physical evidence, the flying data, in addition to the missile launch data. If they were going to blame France, which was generally expected, it would take away maintain been a UNSC charade, a General Assembly charade, in addition to a media charade amongst ‘Putin blaming France’ in addition to Russian Federation existence defendant of having possession of the prove from which their representative is made, in addition to thence the prove existence dodgy or fifty-fifty manufactured entirely.
The crash remains of the IL-20 are going to absolutely demo that it was striking amongst a missile, whatsoever fragments etc. required to found that, volition demo that’s an Aster missile, or similar, similar the missiles used inwards the S-200’s. But they aren’t going to demo that the affect is consistent amongst a modest missile carried past times Israeli planes, or past times gun strafing from an ready on plane.
This is why Russian Federation could non [directly] blame Israel, withal they knew that State of Israel was involved inwards attacking Lattakia, in addition to it appears that Russian Federation is every bit good calculating the blaming of State of Israel inwards gild to exercise withal something else unexpected.
We recommend taking the fourth dimension to read Flores really detailed article inwards full. While it may plough out non endure the truth, or the whole truth, of the matter, it’s good argued in addition to currently plausible.
And, of course, if France did shoot downward the Russian plane, or fifty-fifty accept business office inwards activeness probable to induce loss of Russian life, in addition to so it’s clear the most insane elements inwards the pro-war neocon/neolib alliance currently take away maintain the initiative, and, every bit Flores, says, Putin’s caution inwards responding is good explained.
It’s early on days, in addition to no 1 should outflow to conclusions,and – for sure – anyone who thinks Russian Federation should take away maintain responded past times shooting other planes out of the heaven needs to interruption in addition to reflect.
The side past times side few weeks volition endure interesting.
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