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Macro Wars (Part 516)

There's been a recent resurgence inwards the ongoing "Macro Wars." One article inwards detail -- "It’s Time for New Economic Thinking Based on the Best Science Available, Not Ideology," by Eric Beinhocker -- has raised a lot of attention. I was going to respond, but my feeling is that it is best to stick to to a greater extent than concrete topics than wring our hands close philosophical issues.

In particular, I am similar a shot adding to my sfc_models Python package. I intend to piece of employment it to speak over what nosotros know close economics, using specific examples. Unfortunately, the packet is inwards development, as well as it does non yet back upwards or as well as then of the complex demeanor that I would wish to piece of employment to illustrate or as well as then points I wish to brand regarding the macro debates.

However, I would banking concern annotation that I produce non exactly concur amongst or as well as then of the sentiments inwards Eric Beinhocker's article. In particular, I accept my doubts close the invocation of "science." In our society, proverb something is supported past times "science" is a agency of shutting downwardly ground on a topic, inwards much the same agency that religious texts would live on invoked inwards before eras.

I would propose that the mainstream should non worry close live on "scientific," inwards fact, the problems inwards the mainstream could live on viewed that they are attempting to piece of employment the same reductionist strategies employed inwards physics. The belief that economical demeanor tin give the axe live on forecast using mathematical models (even if the models piece of employment the latest academic buzzwords similar "complexity") is based upon a lot of hidden assumptions. The inability of the mainstream to aspect upwards its reliance upon assuming desired results before starting analysis is why the resulting theory is useless for anything other hand-waving.

Instead, the mainstream should focus to a greater extent than on existence "scholarly." Citing relevant articles used to live on considered a requirement for serious scholarship; nonetheless academic standards are decayed, as well as nosotros similar a shot accept the spectacle of the mainstream pretending that the entire post-Keynesian literature does non exist. Until that mind-set is changed, I run across piffling promise for progress for mainstream macro.

(c) Brian Romanchuk 2017

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